Fall 2018 IPEDS Data: New Profile of US Higher Ed Online EducationAuthor Phil Hill, Blog /3 Comments/by Phil Hill
The National Center for Educational Statistics (NCES) and its Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS) provide the most official data on colleges and universities in the United States. I have been analyzing and sharing the data since the inaugural Fall 2012 dataset, and the Fall 2018 data were just released. Let’s view the numbers for US-based online education enrollment.
Update 12/11: See this post for data trends 2012 – 2018
Please note the following:
- There are multiple ways to filter and select data. For this set (as with previous analyses for consistency’s sake), I have limited to U.S. degree-granting institutions in six sectors – public 4-year, private 4-year, for profit 4-year, public 2-year, private 2-year, and for profit 2-year. For undergraduate totals I have included degree-seeking and non-degree-seeking students (degree-granting institutions can offer non-degree programs). This will give different totals than other reporting methods. In particular, note that the IPEDS data view summary includes less than 2-year degrees and also includes non degree-granting institutions, leading to slightly higher numbers than shown below.
- For the most part distance education (DE) and online education terms are interchangeable, but they are not equivalent as DE can include courses delivered by a medium other than the Internet (e.g. correspondence course).
- Exclusively DE is for students taking all courses online; Some DE is for students taking some courses online but not all; At Least One DE, or ALO DE is a combination of exclusive and some DE.
- There are two tabs in the interactive graphic – the first shows totals for the US by sector and by level (grad, undergrad); the second shows a map view allowing filtering by sector.
The headline appears to me that we are seeing the same trends – growth of online, decline of fully face-to-face (no online) enrollment – but that the trends might be slowing down for the Some DE category. More than 35% of all US postsecondary students take at least one online class as of Fall 2018. From 2016 – 2017, however, the percentage of all students taking at least one online course rose from 31.4% to 33.7% (2.3%), but from 2017 – 2018 it rose from 33.7% to 35.4% (1.7%). I plan to do a separate analysis of DE trends over time, but the initial data show a slowdown in growth for online education enrollment, at least for the Some DE category.
- For Undergraduates, in absolute numbers exclusively online enrollment increased by 93k, some online enrollment increased 126k, and no online enrollment decreased by 362k since Fall 2017.
- For Graduates, exclusively online enrollment increased 65k, some online enrollment remained unchanged, and no online enrollment decreased 31k since Fall 2017.
Below is a profile of online education in the US for degree-granting colleges and university, broken out by sector and for each state for the most recent, Fall 2018, data.
Below is the map view of state data colored by number of, and percentage of, students taking at least one online class for each sector. In the interactive view, if you hover over any state you can get the basic data.
For those of you who have made it this far, you can find the interactive graphic here. Enjoy the data.
Using Arizona nonprofit institutions as an example of data available in the interactive view:
Update 12/8: Added clarification that most of the slowdown in growth comes from the Some DE category.
Update 12/9: Added specific description of IPEDS data view summary.
The most recent data are clearly pointing to the growth of online education, although it is a bit slow right now. Online education is the future and we researchers and instructional designers must be working together to design, develop, and manage high-quality online learning environments where students can feel satisfied with their learning achievements and their overall online educational experiences.